The core inflation metric tracked by the Federal Reserve will likely come in at 2.7% or 2.8% for June, versus 2.7% in May, according to a batch of Wall Street estimates out today. That would mean no more progress toward the Fed's 2% target,

The year-over-year inflation rate surged to 2.7% in June from 2.4% in May, surpassing the forecast. Tariff effects were mixed in the new report. The Federal Reserve could use the new reading to help decide whether to change interest rates in late July.