inflation, Federal Reserve and tariffs
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Fed, Trump and Jerome Powell
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The inflation gauge the Federal Reserve relies on most to decide whether to raise or lower U.S. interest rates is likely to cement a decision by the central bank to stand pat at its next meeting at the end of July.
Rising prices across an array of goods from coffee to audio equipment to home furnishings pulled inflation higher in June in what economists see as evidence of the Trump administration's increasing import taxes passing through to consumers.
What is clear is that the current 4.33% median Fed funds target rate remains well above the inflation trend. Even after the acceleration in consumer prices in June, the policy rate is roughly 1.4 percentage points above headline CPI’s one-year change – close to the biggest gap post-pandemic.
A new report shows inflation has picked up and analysts believe the prices of many goods increased, in part, because of President Trump’s tariffs. It will play into decisions by the Federal Reserve about when and whether to cut interest rates and comes as the president and his team have ramped up their pressure campaign on Fed Chair Jerome Powell.
1don MSN
Gary Cohn, IBM vice chairman and former National Economic Council Director under President Trump, joins 'Squawk Box' to discuss the state of the economy, June's CPI data, President Trump's tariff agenda,
Wall Street braced for another inflation checkup after Tuesday's consumer price reading spurred traders to pare bets on Fed rate cuts in the coming months.
Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland President Beth Hammack said on Monday she sees no imminent need to lower interest rates right now given that inflation is still too high, amid ongoing uncertainty about how trade tariffs will affect price pressures.
A busy week ahead for investors will see inflation data, the debate about the Fed's next move, and the start of second quarter earnings season all come into focus after a flurry of trade activity last week.