In one research study, participants were given a choice: Either they could pay $38 to guarantee they would get a $50 gift certificate, or they could pay $28 to enter a lottery for a chance to win ...

Scientific research is a dynamic process of studying phenomena through creative and systematic investigation. This process integrates new information with existing scientific knowledge. At the core of ...

The rules of statistical physics address the uncertainty about the state of a system that arises when that system interacts with its environment. But they've long missed another kind. In a new paper, ...

A new technique can help researchers who use Bayesian inference achieve more accurate results more quickly, without a lot of additional work. Pollsters trying to predict presidential election results ...

In the aftermath of the COVID pandemic, it’s become a regular assumption that we (meaning scientists, healthcare professionals, and science and health communicators) need to communicate uncertainty ...

Use of evidence is what separates doctors from palm readers. Evidence helps prevent us from fooling ourselves. It tamps down our hubris. Yet some expert clinicians have rightly criticized the overuse ...

Your review of Adam Kucharski’s book Proof refers to “truth” and “truth-seeking” in science. I don’t know if Kucharski’s book uses these terms much, but perhaps it should be added that indisputable ...