Fed, Inflation
Digest more
Traders are paring bets on near-term rate cuts, and Treasury bond yields are edging higher, amid stubborn underlying inflation pressures tied to the president’s myriad tariffs. Trump himself said through his social media account that borrowing costs should be “3 points” lower. “One Trillion Dollars a year would be saved,” he declared.
Current tariff collections equate to 0.1% monthly inflation, aligning with recent CPI data. See why I’m skeptical that tariffs will lead to widespread inflation.
Inflation expectations among Russian households for the year ahead, an important gauge closely watched by the central bank, remained steady at 13% in July compared with June, the central bank said on Thursday.
A number of factors, including a lack of significant gains in auto prices, are masking the extent of the shift.
Critics of President Trump's tariff policies have been waiting for the import taxes to raise the inflation rate. That effect may be beginning.
New data showing price increases last month could foreshadow even higher costs if the president imposes steep tariffs on Aug. 1.
A changing pricing environment and renewed social inflation worries will be among the focal points for US property and casualty insurers when they release second quarter results.
Tariffs contributed modestly to the rise of inflation last month, analysts told ABC News, citing the price hikes in product categories made up primarily of imports. But, they added, overall price increases owed largely to a rise in housing and food products with little connection to tariffs.
The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports a 0.3% increase in the consumer price index last month, raising the annual inflation rate to 2.7%.