GDPNow, Atlanta Fed

Atlanta Fed model forecasts nearly -3% GDP growth in first quarter of this year
The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model had, up until the Feb. 28 update, been forecasting growth between 2-4% in line with most other models. A graph on the GDPNow page lists the "Blue Chip Consensus" average of the top 10 and bottom 10 forecasts at a slight tick more than 2% U.S. GDP growth for Q1 2025.
Atlanta Fed's GDPNow Estimate Falls Again
The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta’s running forecast for first-quarter gross domestic product slid again on Monday. The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow estimate now calls for a first-quarter GDP decline of 2.8%,
Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model sees U.S. economy shrinking 2.8% in the first quarter of 2025
The Atlanta Fed GDPNow on Monday estimated that the U.S. economy will shrink at a 2.8% annualized rate in the first quarter of 2025 -- just days after it indicated that gross domestic product was on pace to shrink by 1.
Atlanta Fed GDPNow Sees Economy Shrinking After Friday Data
The US economy is setting up to take a major step back in the first quarter after a pair of reports showed weaker consumer spending and a dramatic widening of the trade deficit at the start of the year,
Atlanta Fed model forecasts GDP contraction in 2025 Q1
On February 28, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q1 2025 is -1.5%: https://t.co/T7FoDdgYos. #ATLFedResearch Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: https://t.co/NOSwMl7Jms. pic.twitter.com/HhndH6BirX
Closely watched Atlanta Fed GDP tracker sees U.S. economy contracting in first quarter
The Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model on Friday lowered its forecast for the U.S. economy to a contraction at a 1.5% annual rate. This would be the first quarterly contraction in the economy since the first quarter of 2022.
The first quarter is on track for negative GDP growth, Atlanta Fed indicator says
The central bank's GDPNow tracker of incoming metrics is indicating that gross domestic product is on pace to shrink by 1.5%.
US economy on track for negative GDP in Trump’s first quarter back
The US economy is already slipping in 2025, and the numbers don’t look good for President Donald Trump, who took the Oval back on January 20. According to the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, GDP is on track to contract by 1.
Trump’s first quarter of GDP is looking shaky. His allies are already trying to shoot the messenger.
The Trump administration wants to create a separate report about the economy that strips out the impact of government ...
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Facing Dismal Economic Projections From Atlanta Fed, Commerce Secretary Proposes Major Change to GDP Reporting
The Atlanta branch of the Federal Reserve is now predicting that America’s GDP could decline by as much as 2.8 percent in the ...
Trump’s tariff chaos threatens an economy already flashing yellow lights
Those tariffs — if they get imposed — could increase costs for Americans at a time when inflation remains stubbornly high. That, in turn, could prevent the Federal Reserve from lowering borrowing ...
S&P 500: The U.S. Economy Is Deteriorating, The Equity Market Could Be Next
We see increasing evidence to suggest that the current bull market may be losing momentum. Click here to find out more about ...
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Fed looks set to hold rates steady as US inflation slows, markets anticipate cuts
According to Reuters, the US Federal Reserve is closely monitoring inflation trends and economic activity as it considers ...
The US economy has suddenly been thrown into reverse as key GDP indicator flashes stunning negative forecast
The Atlanta Fed's GDP tracker now indicates the economy is headed for a 1.5% contraction in the first quarter, after showing ...
REITs Rally As Rates Tumble
The Atlanta Fed's updated growth forecast indicated a -1.5% contraction in first-quarter GDP. Learn more about the real ...